Forecasters Now See Below-Average Activity for Rest of Hurricane Season

11 July, 2018, 02:18 | Author: Cecelia Webb
  • New predictions for hurricanes, storms in the Caribbean this season

El Nino may put a damper on the 2018 hurricane season, with The Weather Channel and Colorado State University's Tropical Meteorology Project now predicting a less active storm season.

A tropical storm warning is up on Guadeloupe and Dominica, while a tropical storm watch has been issued for the French Caribbean territories of Martinique, St. Martin and St. Barts as well as St. Maarten, Barbados, St. Lucia, Saba and St. Eustatius.

But the National Weather Service maintained a hazardous weather outlook for Puerto Rico, the USA territory still recovering from the devastation wrought a year ago by Hurricane Maria, warning of thunderstorms and wind gusts. At this time, Beryl is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression by Monday morning and dissipate shortly after due to increased wind shear in the Caribbean Sea.

Even if the system degenerates into a tropical wave, as forecast, an uptick in shower activity, including some locally heavy rain, and gusty winds are expected in the Lesser Antilles Sunday into Monday. "They should not let their guard down", he said.

The National Hurricane Center gives this area a 30-percent-chance of tropical development within the next 48-hours and a 40-percent-chance of tropical development within the next five days.

The year's first named storm, Alberto, hit in late May.




The government of Dominica said it would shut down its water system and Puerto Rico's governor warned of likely new power outages. Beryl is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain through Sunday across the southern Leeward Islands and northern Windward Islands.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Chris, is bobbing 160 miles south of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. More than 1,500 power customers remain in the dark more than nine months after Maria, and some 60,000 people still have only tarps for roofs.

"As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them".

A separate storm could develop off the U.S. East Coast over the next few days, but isn't likely to directly impact land.

It is barely moving with no significant motion expected in the next day. It was moving to east-southeast at 2 miles per hour (4 kph). This system is forecast to move northward, then northeastward, away from the United States.

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